Wednesday, June 20, 2018

कमोडिटी बाजार में आज क्या हो रणनीति

सोने की चमक फीकी पड़ गई है। ग्लोबल मार्केट में सोना इस साल की पूरी तरह गंवा चुका है। कॉमेक्स पर इसमें 1265 डॉलर पर कारोबार हो रहा है जो पिछले 7 महीने का निचला स्तर है। इस साल के ऊपरी स्तर से इसका भाव करीब 7 फीसदी लुढ़का चुका है। घरेलू बाजार में भी सोना 3 महीने के निचले स्तर पर है। इस बीच चांदी में भी गिरावट बढ़ गई है और ये 16.25 डॉलर के पास है।

उधर सप्लाई बढ़ाने में ईरान की ओर से ओपेक को साथ मिलने की उम्मीद से कच्चे तेल में गिरावट आई है। ब्रेंट का दाम 75 डॉलर के नीचे है। कल विएना में ओपेक की अहम बैठक है, जहां क्रूड की सप्लाई बढ़ाने पर फैसला हो सकता है। वहीं चीन में कर्ज सस्ता होने की उम्मीद से लंदन मेटल एक्सचेंज पर कॉपर 3 हफ्ते के निचले स्तर से संभल गया है। इसमें करीब 0.5 फीसदी ऊपर कारोबार हो रहा है।

इस बीच जापान की एजेंसी ने भारत में जून-अगस्त के दौरान सामान्य से कम बारिश की आशंका जताई है। वैसे इस सीजन अब तक सामान्य से 7 फीसदी कम बारिश हुई है जिसमें उत्तर पश्चिम भारत को लेकर चिंता ज्यादा है। वहीं डॉलर के मुकाबले रुपये में कमजोरी है और एक डॉलर की कीमत 68 रुपए 20 पैसे पर पहुंच गई है। 

उधर सप्लाई बढ़ाने में ईरान की ओर से ओपेक को साथ मिलने की उम्मीद से कच्चे तेल में गिरावट आई है। ब्रेंट का दाम 75 डॉलर के नीचे है। कल विएना में ओपेक की अहम बैठक है, जहां क्रूड की सप्लाई बढ़ाने पर फैसला हो सकता है। वहीं चीन में कर्ज सस्ता होने की उम्मीद से लंदन मेटल एक्सचेंज पर कॉपर 3 हफ्ते के निचले स्तर से संभल गया है। इसमें करीब 0.5 फीसदी ऊपर कारोबार हो रहा है।

इस बीच जापान की एजेंसी ने भारत में जून-अगस्त के दौरान सामान्य से कम बारिश की आशंका जताई है। वैसे इस सीजन अब तक सामान्य से 7 फीसदी कम बारिश हुई है जिसमें उत्तर पश्चिम भारत को लेकर चिंता ज्यादा है। वहीं डॉलर के मुकाबले रुपये में कमजोरी है और एक डॉलर की कीमत 68 रुपए 20 पैसे पर पहुंच गई है। 

तुरंत अपना नंबर रजिस्टर करे और ज्यादा से ज्यादा मुनाफा कमाए शेयर बाजार से 



Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Gold holds steady amid firm dollar, stronger equities

Gold prices were little changed on Wednesday, after slipping to a near six-month low in the previous session, as the dollar hovered close to an 11-month peak and equities rebounded. 

FUNDAMENTALS
Spot gold held steady at $1,273.82 an ounce by 0054 GMT. The metal fell to its lowest since Dec. 22 at $1,270 on Tuesday. 

US gold futures for August delivery were, however, 0.2 per cent lower at $1,276.10 per ounce. 

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, stood at 95.057, after advancing to an 11-month peak of 95.296 on Tuesday. 

China has underestimated US President Donald Trump's resolve to impose more tariffs unless it changes its "predatory" trade practices, a White House trade adviser said on Tuesday, as Trump greatly expanded the amount of Chinese imports possibly facing new duties. 

The European Central Bank will be patient in tightening policy further, President Mario Draghi said on Tuesday, adding that market pricings for its first post-crisis rate hike were consistent with its aim to move gradually. 

It would take a sizable economic shock for the European Central Bank to reverse its decision to end bond purchases by the close of the year, Irish central bank chief Philip Lane said on Tuesday. 

North Korea's Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping came to an understanding on issues that were discussed at a summit between the two leaders, including denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula, the North's state media said on Wednesday. 

Prospects have risen for negotiations between the Taliban and the United States after Afghan President Ashraf Ghani called a ceasefire and allowed militants to roam into cities in a gamble to encourage peace talks. 

Britain's opposition Labour Party is considering asking the Bank of England to target productivity to help boost the economy if it wins power, in what would be the most radical change to the central bank's remit in over two decades. 

Foreign investors have pulled about $5.5 billion out of emerging market economies since the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike last week, data from the Institute of International Finance showed on Tuesday. 

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Tuesday, June 5, 2018

Oil prices rise amid Venezuela export concerns

Global oil prices rose during Asian trade on Wednesday after Venezuela raised the prospect of halting some crude exports, according to people familiar with the matter, but gains were capped amid reports the U.S. government had asked Saudi Arabia and some other OPEC producers to increase output.

Falling production from Venezuela has contributed to a rally in global oil price Brent to nearly $80 a barrel. State firm PDVSA is considering declaring force majeure on some exports, three sources told Reuters, amid plummeting output from its oil fields and tanker bottlenecks at ports.

Brent crude rose 27 cents to $75.65 a barrel by 0412 GMT after dropping to its lowest since May 8 on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 29 cents at $65.81 a barrel, having touched a near two-month low on Tuesday.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia will meet on June 22-23 to decide how much production they will increase as global inventories have tightened while Venezuela's production has dropped more than expected. U.S. sanctions on Iran are also threatening to reduce oil exports from the OPEC producer.

Reuters reported on May 25 that the producers were considering a supply increase of 1 million barrels per day, with a final decision to be made at the June meeting in Vienna.

WTI's discount to Brent narrowed 4 cents to $9.88 a barrel after industry data showed U.S. crude inventories fell by 2 million barrels, compared with analyst expectations for a decrease of 1.8 million barrels, American Petroleum Institute data showed.

Investors are waiting for the official inventories report to be issued by the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration at 1430 GMT.

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Sunday, June 3, 2018

Gold prices steady amid rate hike prospects

Gold prices steadied early on Monday, after falling to the lowest in more than a week in the previous session, as expectations of an interest rate hike this month offset support from worries about a trade war. 

FUNDAMENTALS
Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $1,293.06 per ounce by 0111 GMT. It touched the lowest since May 23 at $1,289.12 an ounce in the previous session. 

US gold futures for August delivery were down 0.2 per cent at $1,297.10 per ounce. 

US job growth accelerated in May and the unemployment rate dropped to an 18-year low of 3.8 per cent, pointing to rapidly tightening labor market conditions, which could stir concerns about inflation. 

The Federal Reserve should continue to raise rates gradually over the next two years, a US central banker said on Friday, with higher borrowing costs perhaps beginning to act as a brake on growth starting early next year. 

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 1.25 per cent to 836.42 tonnes on Friday from 847.03 tonnes on Thursday. 

Hedge funds and money managers raised their net long position in COMEX gold contracts to the strongest since late April in the week to May 29, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday. 

Gold demand in most Asian centres remained sluggish last week with prices stuck in a tight range, while an inauspicious period for buying the yellow metal dampened demand in major consumer India. 

US hedge fund Paulson & Co, led by long-time gold bull John Paulson, is set to name a group of investors that will work together to try to drive changes and better returns from gold mining companies after years of dismal industry performance, according to people familiar with the situation. 

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Stocks in focus on June 4, 2018

Strong global cues and Nifty futures on the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX) signalled a positive start for domestic stocks on Monday. At 08:00 am, Nifty futures on SGX traded 44 points, or 0.41 per cent, higher at 10,723. 

Here is a list of stocks that are likely to be in focus in today's trading session - 

Idea Cellular: The board of Idea Cellular has called for an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) on June 26 to approve changing the name of ‘Idea Cellular Limited’ to ‘Vodafone Idea Limited’, as the merger of India's second and third ranked telcos nears completion. The EGM will also consider the board's plan to raise funds via nonconvertible securities of not more than Rs 15,000 crore, which may be used to pare debt, with the merged entity looking to strengthen its balance sheet  .. 

ICICI Bank: Capital markets regulator Sebi has said in a showcause notice that ICICI Bank’s chief executive Chanda Kochhar didn’t adhere to its code of conduct, which required the disclosure of any conflict of interest in the case involving Videocon Group and NuPower Renewables, a firm owned by her husband Deepak Kochhar, ET reported. The showcause notice also said that the bank indirectly violated the disclosure norms of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) by not  .. 

Dr Reddy's: Dr Reddy'sLaboratories expects to launch over 15 products in the US market in 2018-19, according to a top company official. The Hyderabad-based drug major also remains optimistic for a double digit growth in the domestic market in the ongoing financial year. 

Cadila Healthcare: Zydus Cadila has received the final approval from the USFDA to market Doxycycline Hyclate capsules USP, 
antibiotic used for treating bacterial infections, Cadila Healthcare said on Saturday. "Zydus Cadila has received the final 
approval from the USFDA to market Doxycycline Hyclate Capsules USP, 50 mg and 100 mg," the company said in a regulatory 
filing. 

Auto stocks: Vehicle makers across segments posted strong sales for the second straight month in May, driven by a growing economy, launches and as customers advanced buying expecting price hikes. The Indian passenger vehicle market is estimated to have broken the 3-lakh-units-a-month barrier after eight months, with dispatches close to the peak volumes seen in last September which was a festive month. 

Coal India: Coal India will try out a new customer-friendly billing system for consumers with state-owned power major NTPCNSE -0.33 % on a pilot basis, in line with a global quality practice framework, PTI reported citing a top official. The new billing mechanism will compute prices on every unit of Gross Calorific Value (GCV( of coal, doing away with the grade policy at present. 

GMR Infra: The Maldivian government has slapped a notice seeking $20.5 million towards income tax and fines on GMR Male International Airport, a GMR group company, that won $271 million arbitration against the premature termination of Male International Airport contract. A GMR spokesperson refuted the tax claim by the island nation and said they are awaiting response from Maldives Airports Company Limited on the issue. 

Alembic Pharmaceuticals: Alembic Pharmaceuticals has earmarked a capital expenditure of Rs 720 crore for this fiscal year to complete existing projects and on maintenance, a senior company official said. The company had spent about Rs 600 crore of capex in the last fiscal year (FY18). 

PNB: HSBC has retained reduce rating on PNB and reduced target price to Rs 71 from Rs 92. The firm said it remains cautious despite significant underperformance due to a dim earnings outlook, significant capital erosion, and likely dilution given weak CET1 and low valuations. The firm expects the bank to report a loss for FY19 on the back of higher provisioning and slower loan growth. Shares of Punjab National Bank ended down 0.8 per cent at Rs 82.90 on Friday. 

Tata Motors: Global brokerge Nomura has maintained ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with target price of Rs 495. The brokerage expects 9 per cent growth in overall JLR volumes in 2018-19. 

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बाजार की तेज शुरुआत, सेंसेक्स 276 अंक मजबूत, निफ्टी 10750 के पार खुला

एशियाई बाजारों से मिले अच्छे संकेतों से सोमवार को घरेलू शेयर बाजार की शुरुआत बढ़त के साथ हुई। सेंसेक्स 276 अंकों की मजबूती के साथ 35,503 के स्तर पर खुला। वहीं निफ्टी की शुरुआत 70 अंकों की उछाल के साथ 10,766 के स्तर पर हुई। शुरुआती कारोबार में लार्जकैप के साथ मिडकैप और स्मॉलकैप शेयरों में भी तेजी देखने को मिल रही है। बैंक, मेटल, फार्मा समेत सभी शेयरों में खरीददारी दिख रही है।

ग्लोबल ट्रेड वार बढ़ा
अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प ने यूरोपियन यूनियन और कनाडा समेत अन्य देशों पर स्टील और एल्युमीनियम प्रोडक्ट पर इम्पोर्ट ड्यूटी बढ़ा दी है। यूरोपियन यूनियन ने जवाबी कार्रवाई में ट्रम्प प्रशासन के फैसले को वर्ल्ड ट्रेड ऑर्गेनाइजेशन (WTO) में चुनौती दी है। कनाडा भी अमेरिका के खिलाफ डब्ल्यूटीओ में चला गया है। इससे ग्लोबल स्तर पर ट्रेड वार की शुरुआत हो गई है जिसका असर शेयर बाजार पर पड़ेगा।

ड प्राइस पर नजर
मई में ब्रेंट क्रूड 80.50 डॉलर प्रति बैरल तक पहुंच गया था। हालांकि फिलहाल इसमें 4.6 फीसदी का करेक्शन हो चुका है औऱ ब्रेंट क्रूड का भाव 76.79 डॉलर प्रति बैरल पर आ गया है। एक्सपर्ट्स का कहना है कि क्रूड ऑयल की कीमतें बढ़ने का ऑयल इम्पोर्टिंग इकोनॉमी पर असर पड़ता है। भारत क्रूड का बड़ा इम्पोर्टर है, ऐसे में करंट अकाउंट डेफिसिट, फिस्कल डेफिसिट, इम्पोर्टेड इंफ्लेशन पर प्रतिकूल प्रभाव डालेगा जो इकोनॉमिक ग्रोथ के लिए हेडविंड बन सकता है। 

अधिक जानकी के लिए अपना नंबर तुरंत रजिस्टर करे और ज्यादा से ज्यादा मुनाफा कमाए शेयर बाजार से